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High Conviction Call: Global Equities with High Quality Factors

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Equities with higher quality characteristics remain attractive. They have proven to be more resilient amid COVID-19 and their growth is likely to accelerate faster than other stocks as economies start to recover.

Equities with higher quality characteristics remain attractive. They have proven to be more resilient amid COVID-19 and their growth is likely to accelerate faster than other stocks as economies start to recover.

Higher quality companies continue to stand out, having outperformed the broader MSCI World global equities benchmark (+36.1% vs +27.7%) and generally maintaining a strong upward trend.

Although this momentum has ebbed and flowed in line with localised resurgences of COVID-19, quality equities continue to be driven by multiple themes (Figure C7) and display promising characteristics:

  • A high return on equity, which reflects earnings growth potential
  • A low debt-to-equity ratio, demonstrating financial discipline in borrowings
  • Low variations in earnings, representing consistency

High valuations (22.9x), due to the larger weightage in the technology sector, remain a concern for some investors. Yet earnings are expected to increase in 2021 due to these companies’ resilient growth during COVID-19.

Global Quality Equities Price-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Growth column chartsGlobal Quality Equities Price-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Growth column chartsGlobal Quality Equities Price-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Growth column chartsGlobal Quality Equities Price-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Growth column charts

Low interest rates and bond yields have also driven valuations higher. Furthermore, trends such as relatively low growth plus low rates are expected to be anchored by the US Federal Reserve for the next three years. Equities with high quality factors tend to be compared with bonds, hence low bond yields will have a positive effect on prices of such equities.

These dynamics should breed investor confidence – high-quality equities that deliver strong growth are appealing alternatives to bonds with low yields. In addition, relatively loose central bank policies and government funding to stimulate domestic economies should support quality equities.

Figure C7. Equities with high quality factors are driven by multiple themes in the post-COVID world
Current Themes Driving
Quality Equities
Third party software and services icon

Demand for third party software and services to drive productivity gains

Online consumption of content streaming services icon

Online consumption of services and entertainment benefit e-commerce, content streaming services and digital advertising

Ageing population icon

Ageing population and Emerging Market growth benefit high quality healthcare companies

Analysing data icon

Companies using data analytics and information services to derive sustainable and recurring revenue benefit

Digitalisation of brick-and-mortar retailers icon

COVID-19 has accelerated digitalisation of brick-and-mortar retailers, increasing their resilience with new customer reach

Improvement of China’s economy icon

China’s economy has improved significantly post the COVID-19 outbreak

Monetary relief packages icon

Expansionary fiscal and monetary relief packages may reduce severity of global economic downturn

Current Themes Driving
Quality Equities
Third party software and services icon

Demand for third party software and services to drive productivity gains

Online consumption of content streaming services icon

Online consumption of services and entertainment benefit e-commerce, content streaming services and digital advertising

Ageing population icon

Ageing population and Emerging Market growth benefit high quality healthcare companies

Analysing data icon

Companies using data analytics and information services to derive sustainable and recurring revenue benefit

Digitalisation of brick-and-mortar retailers icon

COVID-19 has accelerated digitalisation of brick-and-mortar retailers, increasing their resilience with new customer reach

Improvement of China’s economy icon

China’s economy has improved significantly post the COVID-19 outbreak

Monetary relief packages icon

Expansionary fiscal and monetary relief packages may reduce severity of global economic downturn

Current Themes Driving Quality Equities infographicCurrent Themes Driving Quality Equities infographic

Source: Wellington Management